From Accounting to Behaviour

ECONORIA Model Lab 10 — From Accounting to Behaviour

EECONORIATHINK · SIMULATE · UNDERSTAND · DECIDE

Model Lab ↗

MODEL LAB · LABORATORY 10

From Accounting
to Behaviour.

Transform a balanced benchmark into a behavioural economy. Introduce optimizing agents, relative prices, substitution and market clearing—the mechanisms that allow a CGE model to explain adjustment rather than merely record transactions.

10 CGE foundations115 Minutesp* General equilibrium
Simultaneous equilibrium

ProducersMarketsHouseholdsGovernment

THE MODELLING TRANSITION

Accounts constrain.
Behaviour explains.

A SAM supplies the benchmark quantities and incomes. Behavioural equations determine how agents respond when policy changes prices, resources and incentives.

ACCOUNTING IDENTITY

True by construction

Y ≡ C + I + G + X − M

The identity must hold in every benchmark and counterfactual equilibrium. It does not explain any choice.

BEHAVIOURAL EQUATION

Assumed and parameterised

Cᵢ = Cᵢ(p, Y, β)

Consumption depends on prices, income and preference parameters. Its form and elasticity require justification.

Benchmark data + Behavioural theory + Closure rules → Counterfactual equilibrium

THE BEHAVIOURAL CORE

Agents choose.
Markets reconcile.

P

Production

Q = γ[δKᵖ+(1−δ)Lᵖ]¹ᐟᵖ

Firms minimize cost subject to technology and substitute among factors according to σ.

H

Households

max U(C) s.t. p·C ≤ Y

Households allocate disposable income across consumption goods and saving.

T

Trade

Q = CES(D,M)

Armington substitution distinguishes domestic and imported varieties by origin.

Σ

Market clearing

Supplyᵢ = Demandᵢ

Prices adjust until commodity and factor markets satisfy the selected equilibrium conditions.

CGE ADJUSTMENT LAB

Change costs.
Observe adaptation.

Apply an input-cost shock and vary substitution elasticity. The conceptual engine compares a rigid economy with one able to reorganize its input mix.

CONCEPTUAL COUNTERFACTUALModerate substitution
OUTPUT PRICE+4.2%
SECTOR OUTPUT−2.9%
SHOCKED INPUT USE−16.0%
REAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME−1.7%
ADJUSTMENT CHANNELS

Price pass-through4.2%
Substitution16.0%
Demand response2.9%
Policy shock
Relative prices
Agent choices
New equilibrium

BEHAVIOURAL READINGThe cost shock raises output prices, reduces demand and induces firms to substitute away from the affected input. The response depends materially on σ.

CLOSURE IS ECONOMIC THEORY

What adjusts?
What remains fixed?

L

Labour market

Choose whether employment, wages or both adjust, and whether labour is mobile across sectors.

K

Capital market

Specify whether capital is fixed, sector-specific or mobile over the simulation horizon.

G

Government balance

Determine whether taxes, spending, saving or borrowing absorbs the fiscal change.

X

External balance

Select whether the exchange rate, foreign saving or another variable restores external consistency.

SCIENTIFIC CHECKPOINT

Why is an accounting identity
not a behavioural theory?

Which statement is correct?

Continue to Laboratory 11: National CGE Architecture →