Multi-Regional CGE

ECONORIA Model Lab 13 — Multi-Regional CGE

EECONORIATHINK · SIMULATE · UNDERSTAND · DECIDE

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MODEL LAB · LABORATORY 13

Multi-Regional
CGE.

Model every region as an interacting economy. Trace bilateral trade, factor movement, price transmission and feedback effects to understand how a local shock becomes a national pattern of growth, displacement and cohesion.

13 System of regions125 Minutesr × s Bilateral equilibrium
NorthPRODUCTION · MARKETS
CentralPOLICY SHOCK
SouthPRODUCTION · MARKETS

A SYSTEM OF REGIONAL ECONOMIES

Every place adjusts.
Every place feeds back.

A multi-regional CGE model represents all regional economies simultaneously. No connected region is merely an external residual: its production, prices and factor markets respond endogenously.

Regional supply

Technology, endowments and local prices determine production in every region.

Tʳˢ

Bilateral trade

Origin-specific goods move through a complete matrix of regional destinations.

Fʳˢ

Factor mobility

Labour and capital respond to spatial returns under explicit mobility costs.

Regional prices

Local scarcity, transport costs and trade substitution create differentiated price effects.

Fʳ(z¹,…,zᴿ; θʳˢ) = 0   for every region r, solved simultaneously

FOUR PROPAGATION PATHS

A regional shock
travels through networks.

PRODUCT MARKETS

Trade transmission

pʳˢ = pʳ(1 + τʳˢ)

Demand and cost changes alter bilateral delivered prices and sourcing patterns.

FACTOR MARKETS

Mobility transmission

ΔFʳˢ = φ(ΔRʳ − ΔRˢ)

Differences in wages and returns redirect labour and capital across space.

INCOME MARKETS

Demand feedback

Yʳ → Cʳ → Qˢ

Regional income changes alter consumption and create new production effects elsewhere.

THREE-REGION EQUILIBRIUM LAB

Shock one node.
Watch the system move.

Choose the investment region and adjust trade and factor mobility. ECONORIA distributes output, employment and migration effects across the complete regional network.

MULTI-REGIONAL COUNTERFACTUALCentral is the policy origin
DISTRIBUTION OF REGIONAL OUTPUT GAINS

North18%
Central64%
South18%
NATIONAL OUTPUT+8.1%
SPILLOVER SHARE36%
CONCENTRATION INDEX0.48

SYSTEM READINGCentral captures most of the direct gain, while trade spreads production to North and South. Mobility redistributes employment and population across the system.

MULTI-LEVEL POLICY INTERPRETATION

Efficiency and cohesion
can diverge.

01

Origin effect

The region receiving expenditure need not retain most production or household income.

02

Network centrality

Well-connected regions can capture spillovers even when they are not directly targeted.

03

Displacement

Mobile factors may leave lagging regions, offsetting positive trade spillovers.

04

Cohesion design

Place-based policy should be judged by the full regional distribution, not only national GDP.

SCIENTIFIC CHECKPOINT

Why solve every region
simultaneously?

What is the central methodological reason?

Continue to Laboratory 14: Calibration, Validation and Sensitivity →