Regions in an Interdependent Economy

ECONORIA Model Lab 06 — Regions in an Interdependent Economy

EECONORIATHINK · SIMULATE · UNDERSTAND · DECIDE

Model Lab ↗

MODEL LAB · LABORATORY 06

Regions in an
Interdependent Economy.

Economic impacts do not stop at administrative borders. Extend input–output analysis across space and discover how demand in one region activates local production, interregional supply chains and external imports.

06 MRIO foundations100 Minutesr × s Origin–destination
Region AORIGIN · DESTINATION
Region BORIGIN · DESTINATION

INTERREGIONAL TRADEREST OF THE WORLD · LEAKAGE

WHY SPACE CHANGES THE RESULT

National effects have
a geography.

A multi-regional input–output system records not only which industry supplies which industry, but also the region of origin and the region of use.

O

Origin

The producing region where output, value added, jobs and environmental pressure occur.

D

Destination

The purchasing region whose industries or final users initiate demand for the product.

S

Spillover

Output generated outside the region where the original demand shock occurs.

L

Leakage

Demand satisfied outside the modelled regional system through imports from the rest of the world.

THE MRIO BLOCK SYSTEM

Within regions.
Between regions.

AᴬᴬA SUPPLIES A
AᴬᴮA SUPPLIES B
AᴮᴬB SUPPLIES A
AᴮᴮB SUPPLIES B
Diagonal blocks

Represent domestic technical requirements within each regional economy.

Off-diagonal blocks

Represent interregional input requirements and transmit shocks through trade.

Regional final demand

Identifies the location of the demand shock independently from the location of production.

= ΣₛAʳˢxˢ + fʳ    ⟹    x = (I − Aᴿ)⁻¹f

REGIONAL TRANSMISSION LABORATORY

Place the shock.
Map the consequences.

Choose the demand region and adjust local supply, interregional dependence and external leakage. ECONORIA allocates the production effect by location.

SPATIAL IMPACT ACCOUNTRegion A initiates the shock
TOTAL OUTPUT€170m
ORIGIN REGION€105m
OTHER REGION€44m
EXTERNAL LEAKAGE€20m
GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION OF THE SYSTEM RESPONSE

Region A62%
Region B26%
Rest of world12%
Final demand
Local production
Regional imports
Spillover output

SPATIAL READINGRegion A retains most of the production response, while Region B gains through interregional supply chains. A national total alone would hide this distribution.

THINK LIKE A REGIONAL MODELLER

Four disciplines of
spatial analysis.

01

Locate production

Assign an effect to where production occurs, not simply where expenditure is announced.

02

Preserve bilateral trade

Origin–destination flows reveal asymmetric dependence that national accounts aggregate away.

03

Separate spillover and leakage

Interregional imports remain inside the national system; foreign imports leave it.

04

Report distributions

A positive national effect can coexist with highly unequal regional gains and adjustment burdens.

SCIENTIFIC CHECKPOINT

Where does a spillover
effect occur?

A demand shock begins in Region A, but suppliers in Region B increase production. How should Region B’s response be classified?

Continue to Laboratory 7: Trade, Spillovers and Leakage →